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Main » 2011 » May » 11 » Ten Ways the World Will End
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Ten Ways the World Will End

Ten Ways the World Will End

Will it be a solar flare? Or a gamma-ray burst? How the earth’s gonna end

Study as we lay out the odds.

                                                        

In this article we count the ways the world will end. Start worrying in a few million years about a cosmic dust collision, when the sun hits the closest spiral arm of our galaxy. Take your chances with an exploding star. Or manage to escape these threats, and you just get an extra 10^35 years before all matter decays anyway.

 

Event

Damage

Odds of fatality

(per lifetime)

Preventable

asteroid impact

Local for a small rock, global for a big one

1 in 700,000

Almost 100% preventable

 

Identify potential impactors, then blow them up or push them out of the way

solar flare

Collapse of power grid, potential ozone depletion

0*

Non-preventable, but mitigatable

 

Build robust power grids

supernova

Ozone depletion, radiation

1 in 10,000,000

Not preventable

gamma-ray burst

Ozone depletion, radiation, setting planet on fire

1 in 14,000,000

Not preventable

black hole

Destruction of Earth

1 in

1,000,000,000,000

 

Not preventable

alien attack

Humanity wiped out by aliens, space bugs give us runny noses

?

Preventable, assuming we colonize the galaxy first.

death of the sun

Earth cooked to a crisp

0 †

Not preventable, but we have a long time to go yet

 

galactic doom

Ice ages, radiation, eaten by super massive black hole

0 †

Not preventable, but again, none of these will happen on a human timescale

death of the universe

Decay of all matter, collapse of false vacuum

0 †

Not preventable, but dwarfs any timescale we can imagine

 

* Fatalities are very unlikely from a solar event, but they can still cause extensive damage.

† These events all take billions of years (at least!) to unfold, so the chances of them happening? during your lifetime are zero, but are inevitable over longer times.

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